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Wind Crux LorraineTier 2
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Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 16.0% | 12 | 4-6-2 | 41.7% | 43.8% | 41.7% | -3.6 |
| Wind Allies | 13.2% | 6 | 3-1-2 | 66.7% | 60.0% | 54.6% | +2.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 12.3% | 8 | 2-4-2 | 37.5% | 41.7% | 37.4% | -6.0 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 9.4% | 7 | 5-1-1 | 78.6% | 68.2% | 62.8% | +6.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.5% | 5 | 4-1-0 | 80.0% | 66.7% | 63.8% | +8.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.5% | 7 | 1-6-0 | 14.3% | 27.3% | 24.1% | -13.0 |
| Fire Erupting | 7.5% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.2% | -0.5 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.9% | +17.4 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rogue | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 28.4% | -20.7 |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.5% | -21.7 |
| Wind Arcane | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Diana | 0.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.1% | -19.0 |
| Fire Neos | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 0.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.1% | -0.9 |
| Wind Beast | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.6 |
| Wind Neos | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 10 from this event
The 10 public Wind Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Viridian Protective Trinket.
No cards correlated with losing.
Show all 14 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 13 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reclaim | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Banner Knight | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Hurricane Sweep | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Fairy Whispers | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Tactful Sergeant | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Rally the Peasants | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cry for Help | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Exorcise Curses | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Crux Sight | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 |